Home Prices: Where Will They Be in 5 Years? 五年後的房價?

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Today, many real estate conversations center on housing prices and where they may be headed. That is why we like the Home Price Expectation Survey.

最近許多房地產話題都圍繞著房價的走向,這就是為什麼我們很喜歡房屋價格預期調查報告的原因。

Every quarter, Pulsenomics surveys a nationwide panel of over one hundred economists, real estate experts, and investment & market strategists about where they believe prices are headed over the next five years. They then average the projections of all 100+ experts into a single number.

每個季度,Pulsenomics諮詢100多位經濟學家、房地產專家、投資和市場行銷專家調查他們認為房價在未來五年的走向,並將100多位專家的預測平均計算為一個數字。

The results of their latest survey:
最新的調查結果顯示:

Home values will appreciate by 4.0% over the course of 2017, 3.2% in 2018 and 3.0% the next three years (as shown below). That means the average annual appreciation will be 3.24% over the next 5 years.

在2017年,房屋價格將升值4.0%,2018年為3.2%,接下來三年為3.0%(如下圖所示)。這意味著未來5年的每年平均升值為3.24%。

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The prediction for cumulative appreciation ticked up from 18.7% to 21.4% by 2021. The experts making up the most bearish quartile of the survey are projecting a cumulative appreciation of 10.2%.

累積升值的預測在2021年將上漲為18.7%至21.4%,最保守估計的專家預測累積升值為10.2%。

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Bottom Line
結論

Individual opinions make headlines. We believe this survey is a fairer depiction of future values.

個人意見可成為頭條新聞,但我們相信這項調查是對未來房屋價值更公平的描述。

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