Where Are Home Prices Headed Over the Next 5 Years?

Prices-Headed-STM

Today, many real estate conversations center on housing prices and where they may be headed. That is why we like the Home Price Expectation Survey.

現今許多有關房地產的話題皆集中在房價的走向,這就是為什麼我們喜歡房屋價格展望調查的原因。

Every quarter, Pulsenomics surveys a nationwide panel of over one hundred economists, real estate experts, and investment & market strategists about where they believe prices are headed over the next five years. They then average the projections of all 100+ experts into a single number.

每個季度,Pulsenomics諮詢超過一百個經濟學家,房地產專家,以及投資與行銷戰略家,調查他們認為在未來五年內的房價走向,並將這100多位專家預測算出一個平均數字。

The results of their latest survey:
最新調查的結果:

Home values will appreciate by 4.5% over the course of 2016, 3.6% in 2017 and about 3.2% in the next two years, and finally 2.9% in 2020 (as shown below). That means the average annual appreciation will be 3.5% over the next 5 years.

房價將在2016年上漲4.5%,在2017年上漲3.6%,在接下來兩年上漲3.2%,最後在2020年上漲2.9%(如下圖所示),這表示在未來五年中,房價平均每年升值3.5%。

Projected-Prices-STM-1024x768

The prediction for cumulative appreciation increased slightly from 24.7% to 26.3% by 2020. The experts making up the most bearish quartile of the survey are still projecting a cumulative appreciation of 11.1%.

累計升值幅度預測將在2020年由24.7%微升至26.3%,專家們最保守的看法仍預測11.1%累計升值。

Cumulative-Prices-STM-1024x768.jpg

Bottom Line
結論

Individual opinions make headlines. We believe the survey is a fairer depiction of future values.

個人意見可成為頭條新聞,但我們認為該調查是未來更公平的寫照。

 

 

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