Is Now the Right Time to Put Your House on the Market …or Not?

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Last week, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released their Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings. The report revealed that this May’s numbers weren’t quite as good as the year before:

上週全美地產經紀商協會(NAR)發布了根據房屋銷售合同簽約數據而做出的一個前瞻性銷售指標報告,該報告指出,今年五月的銷售數字並沒有像去年一樣好:

“With last month’s decline, the index reading is still the third highest in the past year, but declined year-over-year for the first time since August 2014.”

“雖然上個月的銷售下跌,該指數仍是在過去一年中第三高的,這是從2014年八月以來第一次下跌。

The mainstream media ran headlines highlighting that the index had dropped for the first time in two years. Many read this as an indication that the housing market must be slowing down.

主流媒體以頭條報導房屋銷售指數在兩年內第一次下跌,許多民眾解讀為房屋市場放緩的跡象。

If you were thinking that now may be the perfect time to put your house on the market, these reports may have caused you some concern. We want to alleviate that concern today.

如果您認為現在是把房屋上市出售的最佳時機,這些報導可能給您帶來一些擔憂,我們今天要告訴您,您大可不必擔心。

Though it is true that the index dropped in last month’s report, let’s take a closer look at the numbers. Below is a graph of the index since January 2014. We can see that the index has increased every month over the last eighteen months, leading up to this past May.

指數在上個月的報告中下降了這是事實,但讓我們來仔細看看這個數據。下圖為2014年的指數圖表,我們可以看到,直到今年五月,指數已經持續上升了18個月。

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Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, explained that it wasn’t a slowing of the market that caused the index to slip, but instead a lack of housing inventory:

NAR首席經濟學家勞倫斯.雲解釋說,這並不是市場放緩,而是缺乏出售房屋庫存量而導致指數下滑:

“Total housing inventory at the end of each month has remarkably decreased year-over-year now for an entire year. There are simply not enough homes coming onto the market to catch up with demand.”

“一整年來每個月月底的出售房屋庫存量已顯著下降,市場上根本沒有足夠的出售屋庫存量來滿足購屋者的需求量。“

Here is a graph depicting the situation Yun was referencing:
下圖為解釋雲先生說法的圖表:

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Bottom Line
結論

Did the latest numbers from the Pending Home Sales Index cause you to question if now is a good time to put your house on the market? If anything, it indicated the exact opposite: that this may be the perfect time to sell!!

房屋銷售指數的最新數字讓您懷疑現在是否為出售房屋的好時機嗎?其實這個數據證明的剛好相反,現在正是出售房屋的最佳時機!

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